Assessment of the Climate Change Impact on the Arabian Peninsula Evapotranspiration Losses

Salah Basem Ajjur, Sami G. Al-Ghamdi

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

    1 Citation (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This study is motivated by quantifying potential evapotranspiration (PET) evolution under climate change in the Arabian Peninsula. It implements climatic data in the Penman approach to investigate the development in PET values through the 21st century. Climatic simulations were obtained from 10 global circulation models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Analysis showed that PET losses are projected to increase between 0.18 mm and 0.96 mm/year through the end-21st century, under the shared socioeconomic pathway SSP5-8.5. The warming trend over the Arabian Peninsula seems to be the primary driver of PET increases. These results imply severe consequences for the Arabian Peninsula countries, which have indeed a very high water deficit. Therefore, sustainable management and augmentation of water resources should be prioritized in future agendas.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationWorld Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2022
    Subtitle of host publicationAdaptive Planning and Design in an Age of Risk and Uncertainty - Selected Papers from the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2022
    EditorsJohn Pierson, Emily Grubert
    PublisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
    Pages492-498
    Number of pages7
    ISBN (Electronic)9780784484258
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2022
    EventWorld Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2022: Adaptive Planning and Design in an Age of Risk and Uncertainty - Atlanta, United States
    Duration: 5 Jun 20228 Jun 2022

    Publication series

    NameWorld Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2022: Adaptive Planning and Design in an Age of Risk and Uncertainty - Selected Papers from the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2022

    Conference

    ConferenceWorld Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2022: Adaptive Planning and Design in an Age of Risk and Uncertainty
    Country/TerritoryUnited States
    CityAtlanta
    Period5/06/228/06/22

    Keywords

    • Arabian Peninsula
    • climate change
    • potential evapotranspiration
    • water sustainability

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