Model comparison and uncertainty quantification for geologic carbon storage: The sim-seq initiative

S. Mukhopadhyay; Z. Hou; L. Gosink; D. Bacon; C. Doughty; J. J. Li; L. Wei; S. Gasda; G. Bacci; R. Govindan; J. Q. Shi; H. Yamamoto; R. Ramanathan; J. P. Nicot; S. A. Hosseini; J. T. Birkholzer; A. Bonneville

doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284

Model comparison and uncertainty quantification for geologic carbon storage: The sim-seq initiative

S. Mukhopadhyay^*, Z. Hou, L. Gosink, D. Bacon, C. Doughty, J. J. Li, L. Wei, S. Gasda, G. Bacci, R. Govindan, J. Q. Shi, H. Yamamoto, R. Ramanathan, J. P. Nicot, S. A. Hosseini, J. T. Birkholzer, A. Bonneville

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Conference article › peer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Sim-SEQ is a model comparison initiative for geologic carbon storage (GCS). Within this initiative, 15 different modeling teams are developing conceptual models for flow and transport of an injected CO₂ plume at the Sim-SEQ study site (the S-3 site) located near Cranfield, Mississippi. The objective of the project is to understand the sources of model uncertainty in GCS, and if possible, to quantify these uncertainties through comparison of the different conceptual models and also through comparison with observed data from the S-3 site. In this paper, we compare six different conceptual models of the S-3 site, and present a preliminary uncertainty analysis of these six models using a generalized linear model approach. We show that differences in model conceptualization and interpretation of site characterization data cause a significant range in predictions.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	3867-3874
Number of pages	8
Journal	Energy Procedia
Volume	37
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284
Publication status	Published - 2013
Externally published	Yes
Event	11th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, GHGT 2012 - Kyoto, Japan Duration: 18 Nov 2012 → 22 Nov 2012

Keywords

Geologic carbon storage (GCS)
Model comparison
Uncertainty analysis

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10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284

Cite this

Mukhopadhyay, S., Hou, Z., Gosink, L., Bacon, D., Doughty, C., Li, J. J., Wei, L., Gasda, S., Bacci, G., Govindan, R., Shi, J. Q., Yamamoto, H., Ramanathan, R., Nicot, J. P., Hosseini, S. A., Birkholzer, J. T., & Bonneville, A. (2013). Model comparison and uncertainty quantification for geologic carbon storage: The sim-seq initiative. Energy Procedia, 37, 3867-3874. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284

@article{478b8d78f716443ca39154e506ef1f6f,

title = "Model comparison and uncertainty quantification for geologic carbon storage: The sim-seq initiative",

abstract = "Sim-SEQ is a model comparison initiative for geologic carbon storage (GCS). Within this initiative, 15 different modeling teams are developing conceptual models for flow and transport of an injected CO2 plume at the Sim-SEQ study site (the S-3 site) located near Cranfield, Mississippi. The objective of the project is to understand the sources of model uncertainty in GCS, and if possible, to quantify these uncertainties through comparison of the different conceptual models and also through comparison with observed data from the S-3 site. In this paper, we compare six different conceptual models of the S-3 site, and present a preliminary uncertainty analysis of these six models using a generalized linear model approach. We show that differences in model conceptualization and interpretation of site characterization data cause a significant range in predictions.",

keywords = "Geologic carbon storage (GCS), Model comparison, Uncertainty analysis",

author = "S. Mukhopadhyay and Z. Hou and L. Gosink and D. Bacon and C. Doughty and Li, {J. J.} and L. Wei and S. Gasda and G. Bacci and R. Govindan and Shi, {J. Q.} and H. Yamamoto and R. Ramanathan and Nicot, {J. P.} and Hosseini, {S. A.} and Birkholzer, {J. T.} and A. Bonneville",

year = "2013",

doi = "10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284",

language = "English",

volume = "37",

pages = "3867--3874",

journal = "Energy Procedia",

issn = "1876-6102",

publisher = "Elsevier Ltd",

note = "11th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, GHGT 2012 ; Conference date: 18-11-2012 Through 22-11-2012",

}

Mukhopadhyay, S, Hou, Z, Gosink, L, Bacon, D, Doughty, C, Li, JJ, Wei, L, Gasda, S, Bacci, G, Govindan, R, Shi, JQ, Yamamoto, H, Ramanathan, R, Nicot, JP, Hosseini, SA, Birkholzer, JT & Bonneville, A 2013, 'Model comparison and uncertainty quantification for geologic carbon storage: The sim-seq initiative', Energy Procedia, vol. 37, pp. 3867-3874. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284

TY - JOUR

T1 - Model comparison and uncertainty quantification for geologic carbon storage

T2 - 11th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, GHGT 2012

AU - Mukhopadhyay, S.

AU - Hou, Z.

AU - Gosink, L.

AU - Bacon, D.

AU - Doughty, C.

AU - Li, J. J.

AU - Wei, L.

AU - Gasda, S.

AU - Bacci, G.

AU - Govindan, R.

AU - Shi, J. Q.

AU - Yamamoto, H.

AU - Ramanathan, R.

AU - Nicot, J. P.

AU - Hosseini, S. A.

AU - Birkholzer, J. T.

AU - Bonneville, A.

PY - 2013

Y1 - 2013

N2 - Sim-SEQ is a model comparison initiative for geologic carbon storage (GCS). Within this initiative, 15 different modeling teams are developing conceptual models for flow and transport of an injected CO2 plume at the Sim-SEQ study site (the S-3 site) located near Cranfield, Mississippi. The objective of the project is to understand the sources of model uncertainty in GCS, and if possible, to quantify these uncertainties through comparison of the different conceptual models and also through comparison with observed data from the S-3 site. In this paper, we compare six different conceptual models of the S-3 site, and present a preliminary uncertainty analysis of these six models using a generalized linear model approach. We show that differences in model conceptualization and interpretation of site characterization data cause a significant range in predictions.

AB - Sim-SEQ is a model comparison initiative for geologic carbon storage (GCS). Within this initiative, 15 different modeling teams are developing conceptual models for flow and transport of an injected CO2 plume at the Sim-SEQ study site (the S-3 site) located near Cranfield, Mississippi. The objective of the project is to understand the sources of model uncertainty in GCS, and if possible, to quantify these uncertainties through comparison of the different conceptual models and also through comparison with observed data from the S-3 site. In this paper, we compare six different conceptual models of the S-3 site, and present a preliminary uncertainty analysis of these six models using a generalized linear model approach. We show that differences in model conceptualization and interpretation of site characterization data cause a significant range in predictions.

KW - Geologic carbon storage (GCS)

KW - Model comparison

KW - Uncertainty analysis

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84898728201&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284

DO - 10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.284

M3 - Conference article

AN - SCOPUS:84898728201

SN - 1876-6102

VL - 37

SP - 3867

EP - 3874

JO - Energy Procedia

JF - Energy Procedia

Y2 - 18 November 2012 through 22 November 2012

ER -

Model comparison and uncertainty quantification for geologic carbon storage: The sim-seq initiative

Abstract

Keywords

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